Global Research, January 31, 2020
While this coronavirus is indeed
serious and is causing deaths, one wonders if the responses, especially in the
West, are reaching out of control.
Canada, with a population about the
same as Shanghai, has so far this flu season had more than 20,000 confirmed
cases, 2,200 hospitalisations, and 85 deaths, roughly the same as all of China
with the new corona virus at the same time. But there is no panic in Canada about
the flu, and United Airlines isn’t cancelling all flights to Canada.
By the same token for the US in
this flu season, there have been 140,000 hospitalisations and about 8,500
deaths.
But the flu barely rates a mention
in the US media and the government is not shuttering cities or air travel. Even
more, in 2017, the US recorded 61,000 fatalities from the flu with 45 million
becoming very ill, yet there was no national emergency cited and life remained
normal.(1)
Infection History (December 31,
2019 – January 31, 2019
◾December 31 – 1
◾January 03 – 44
◾January 21 – 225
◾January 23 – 830
◾January 24 – 1,295
◾January 25 – 1,950
◾January 26 – 2,744 infections, 80 deaths
◾January 27 – 4,515 infections, 105 deaths
◾January 28 – 5,974 infections, 132 deaths
◾January 29 – 7,711 infections, 170 deaths
◾January 30 – 9,692 infections, 216 deaths
◾January 31 – 9,800 infections, 216 deaths
Source: Chinese Government and
World Health Organization data
See Map Below
scan of NYT map, January 31st
Approximately 150 infections have
been recorded outside China in 20-21 countries out of a total of recorded
infections of the order of 10,000 (January 31st).
Sofar all recorded deaths are in
mainland China. Not a single death has been recorded outside China.
These numbers are low when compared
to those pertaining to the common seasonal virus flu outbreak.
According to WHO data, there were 5
million infections and 650,000 deaths Worldwide associated with the common
seasonal flu virus. (2017 figures)
In Hong Kong, there are more deaths
every two weeks from the regular flu each year (and this year) than occurred
with SARS in total, but with only 6 confirmed coronavirus cases, Hong Kong is
shutting down most flights and trains between the Mainland and has closed many
of its border ports of entry.
In Mainland China, the new virus
has now caused more infections than did SARS during 2002-2003, although the
death rate is much lower, but 200 or 300 deaths in a population of nearly 1.4
billion is not immediately reminiscent of the plague or the Spanish flu, both
of which caused millions of deaths around the world.
And indeed China as well
experiences many more deaths from the simple flu each year, yet China has
allocated nearly 30 billion RMB (about US$4 billion) to support the battle
against this novel coronavirus. The fear and the over-reaction (if indeed it is
such) appear to stem simply from the fact that this pathogen is new.
Train travel during this holiday
was down by about 75% from the same period last year. China extended the country’s
New Year holiday in an attempt to permit citizens to remain isolated at their
homes for a longer period, but there will soon be a large wave of travelers
returning to their place of residence or work, with the dangers of further
infections.
Airlines from numerous countries
announced the reduction or full cancellation of all flights to China, and
Russia, Mongolia and North Korea blocked all crossings into China until March
1, Russia effectively closing its 4,200 Km border. The US and many other
nations have recommended the avoidance of any travel to China. As well, many
businesses in China have elected to temporarily close their doors, including
Starbucks and McDonald’s, IKEA and others. (2)
The Italian government declared a
state of emergency in an effort to “allegedly” prevent the spread of the
coronavirus strain after two cases were confirmed in Rome. Italy, Air France,
Delta Airlines, Air Canada, British Airways, Lion Air and Seoul Air, Finnair,
Cathay Pacific and Jetstar Asia have suspended all flights to and from China.
Several other airlines including were reducing the number of flights to the
country as demand for travel drops.
Many nations have now evacuated
most of their diplomatic staff from China, including the US, France and Japan.
Australia said it would quarantine
suspected infections for two weeks on a small island about 1,600 Kms from its
mainland, and Singapore has barred all travelers who have visited mainland
China during the past two weeks. (3) Elsewhere, more than 6,000 tourists were under
lockdown aboard a cruise ship at an Italian port on Thursday after two Chinese
passengers from Macao were isolated over fears they could be carrying the
coronavirus. (4)
The WHO Declared a Global Emergency
On January 30, the WHO declared the
virus outbreak as a global emergency, an “extraordinary event” that constitutes
a risk to other countries and requires a coordinated international response.
This was prompted by the rapid rise in reported infections, especially having
spread to 18 other nations where there were cases of human-to-human
transmission. France confirmed that a doctor who was in contact with a patient
with the new virus later became infected himself, and medical specialists worry
that the spread of new viruses from patients to health workers can signal the
virus is becoming adapted to human transmission and thus become much more
infectious. (5)
The WHO Director-General said the
declaration was not a vote of non-confidence in China, nor what was happening
in China, but because of what is happening in other countries, and that “Our
greatest concern is the potential for this virus to spread to countries with
weaker health systems which are ill-prepared to deal with it.”
Marion Koopmans, an infectious
diseases specialist at Erasmus University Medical Center in the Netherlands and
a member of WHO’s emergency committee wondered if the virus was “more
infectious than previously thought or if there was something unusual in those
circumstances”. Another virologist suggested the transmission was easier than
initially assumed, stating that “If transmission between humans was difficult,
then the numbers would have plateaued”. Another medical officer stated that
this new virus “has spread at unprecedented scale and speed, with cases passing
between people in multiple countries across the world.”
There were Western media reports
that Wuhan medical authorities had been arrested for breaking the news about
the virus, but those claims were not true. What did happen was that some
unrelated individuals circulated online comments that SARS had returned to
China and had been detected in Wuhan’s hospitals, which claim rattled a great
many people. The police did interview them because spreading unfounded or false
rumors that upset public stability is a crime in China. However these 8
individuals were released and later commended because their evidence proved to
be essentially correct even though, as the chief epidemiologist at the CCDC
stated, they “lacked scientific evidence”. In fact, China’s Supreme Court
issued a statement on this, saying “Facts show that, although the novel
coronavirus-infected pneumonia was not SARS, information released by the eight
people was not entirely fabricated.” (6)
In a surprising move, the mayor of
Wuhan, Zhou Xianwang said that the public were initially unsatisfied with the
speed of information disclosure, and that the rapid effective lockdown of the
city was upsetting to many people. He said,
“I hope the public can understand that it’s an
infectious disease, and . . . It’s unprecedented to lockdown a city with more
than 10 million people. However, faced with the current situation, we’ve closed
the city gate and possibly besieged the virus within the city. We might leave a
bad name in history.”
He then stated “But if it’s
conducive to the control of the virus and the protection of the safety of the
people”, both he and the party chief in Wuhan would resign if that would
appease any existing indignation. (7) Typically, Hong Kong’s South China
Morning Post (an anti-Mainland publication) twisted the story to read “Wuhan
mayor under pressure to resign over response to virus”, when in fact there was
no outside pressure. (8)
It was heartwarming that
privately-owned Chinese hotels in Wuhan voluntarily provided free rooms for
medical staff needing rest. Xiao Yaxing, the private owner of a four-star hotel
in the city, opened a discussion group on Chinese social media platform WeChat
where he appealed to his peers from more than 40 hotels to offer rooms for
doctors and nurses who were working day and night to save lives. He said that
since nearly all transportation had ceased in the large city, it was difficult
for the medical staff to get to hospitals from home and needed rest places as
well. Xiao said “Many hotels in Wuhan are shut down for travelers, leaving a
lot of empty rooms that we can offer for free.” (9)
China’s state-owned enterprises
also mobilised their resources to combat the outbreak of pneumonia caused by
the novel coronavirus. The nation’s major telecom operators initiated emergency
responses to ensure effective communications in Hubei Province, and SOE pharma
companies have made extreme efforts to accelerate production of test kits and
medical appliances, as well as working around the clock to develop vaccines
against the virus. (10)
And of course, every silver lining
has a cloud. Retail giants Carrefour and Wal-Mart are being fined millions of
RMB for illegal price-gouging, profiteering frauds, and “otherwise cheating”
their customers during this crisis, both having apparently been warned in
advance only a few days prior by the authorities and both firms ignoring the
warnings. It must be said that both Carrefour and especially Wal-Mart have a
long history in China of various kinds of fraudulent practices. A few years
ago, all the Wal-Mart stores in Chongqing Province were shuttered and six top
executives arrested for a massive public fraud, with the company receiving a
heavy fine. (11)
As an example in this instance, one
branch alone of Carrefour in Shanghai had taken advantage of the public anxiety
to mark up their regular vegetable prices from (for example) 2.5 RMB to 19.8,
from 3.87 to 19.55, and from 4.26 to 18.33, while their procurement costs had
remained stable. The authorities discovered that both Carrefour and Wal-Mart
had been further cheating customers with false prices or misleading tags but
charging 30% to 50% more at the check-out. These price frauds occurred in many
stores in many provinces by both firms. (12)
Carrefour China apologized for any
pricing irregularities and said the company would establish “a special control
group to conduct internal price quality inspections”. Wal-Mart for its part
also issued a statement saying it would “strengthen efforts on price
inspections and treat any problems extremely seriously”. However, these are the
same statements these two companies make each time they are caught and fined
for fraudulent practices. (13)
Some Troubling Background
Each of these items below, and
indeed all of them together, might be dismissed as mere coincidences. It is too
early to form conclusions, but these facts and events have startled and alarmed
some people from their topical relevance and their correspondence in terms of
time.
Part of the unsettling nature of
these events is that many tragedies in the world in recent times have had
‘trial runs’, with the authorities conducting simulated events that uncannily
resembled the real event which took place shortly afterward. The Boston
Marathon bombing in the US a few years ago was one such event, where hundreds
of citizens testified that what appeared to be FBI agents carried out precisely
such a simulation only days before the actual bombing took place. There are
many such, and all well-documented, though the mass media avoided all
discussion of them.
Chinese officials initially
believed the virus originated at the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan,
but say it now appears now that there were multiple sources of the infection.
Huang Chaolin, a Chinese pulmonary disease specialist, vice director of Wuhan
Jinyintan Hospital, revealed some early findings on the clinical data of the
first 41 novel coronavirus cases. In a new published paper in the Lancet, he
said that four of the first five cases had no contact with the seafood market
and that only 27 of the first 41 cases had such exposure. “Judging from the
whole situation, the seafood market may not be the only source. The origin of
the novel coronavirus might be multi-source.” (14)
While a few Caucasians and other
Asians have been infected to date, the virus so far appears to still be tightly
focused to Chinese. In my previous article on this virus, I referred to a
thesis on Biological Weapons by Leonard Horowitz and Zygmunt Dembek who stated that
clear signs of a genetically-engineered bio-warfare agent were (1) a disease
caused by an uncommon (unusual, rare, or unique) agent, with (2) lack of an
epidemiological explanation, i.e. no clear idea of source; (3) An “unusual
manifestation and/or geographic distribution”, such as race-specificity; and
(4) “multiple sources” of infection. This case now has all four. (15)
There is another matter involving
racial susceptibility to this 2019-nCov infection disease. A group of Chinese
virologists discovered that at least some Chinese have an extremely large
number of a particular kind of cell in their lungs, which relate to regulating
both viral reproduction and transmission. They claimed this as the appropriate
“biological background for the epidemic investigation of the 2019-nCov.” (16)
(17)
Another strange occurrence was
around two years ago when the US Air Force placed a listing on the Federal
Business Opportunities website asking for at least 12 RNA samples from Russian
people of a European ancestry, as well as 27 samples of Russian synovial fluid.
The contract stated that all samples must be “collected from Russia and must be
Caucasian. The Government will not consider tissue samples from Ukraine”. (18)
Igor Nikulin, a former member of
the UN commission on biological weapons, noted that the RNA samples can be used
to develop viruses.
“New types of biological weapons are being developed.
There’s nothing else that could possibly interest the military department. Most
likely, they are weaponised viruses. The US is trying to develop various types
of biological weapons specifically for specific carriers of this gene pool, and
Caucasoids are needed since they constitute the majority of the population of
our country. This is the same focus group for which they are trying to find the
samples. It’s necessary for the viruses to act selectively on one or another
ethnic group.”
Wuhan was holding the World
Military Games just a few weeks prior to the outbreak of the virus, with a huge
foreign contingent present. 300 US military personnel arrived in Wuhan for
these Games which lasted into November, not long before the infections began.
There is no proven link between these two, but merely questions which arise
from the timing. (19) (20)
In October of 2019, the Bill and Melinda
Gates Foundation co-hosted a pandemic exercise with the Johns Hopkins Center
for Health Security, in conjunction with the UK’s Pirbright Institute, using
precisely such a novel corona virus outbreak. It was called “Event 201”, and
was a simulation exercise that envisioned a fast-spreading coronavirus with a
devastating impact. In their simulation, the coronavirus resulted in a death
toll of 65 million people within 18 months – surpassing the deadliest pandemic
in history, the 1918 Spanish flu. (21)
Screenshot Event 201
The organisers were saying,
“Efforts to prevent such consequences or respond to
them as they unfold will require unprecedented levels of collaboration between
governments, international organizations, and the private sector.”
In their narrative,
“the immune-resistant virus was crippling trade and
travel, sending the global economy into freefall. Social media was rampant with
rumors and misinformation, governments were collapsing, and citizens were
revolting.” They claimed this scenario was “utterly realistic”.
Aside from the coincidence with a
virtually identical breakout in China, perhaps the most revealing part was the
group’s focus on the necessity of “deep coordination with the ‘private’ sector”
because, in their words, “vaccine development is slow and difficult if there
isn’t an immediate market for it.” Comments of this kind unfortunately raise
immediate questions.
Another serious matter is the
Pirbright Institute itself which assisted in the above simulation. The
Pirbright Institute is one of the UK’s two major bio-weapons labs, the other
being Porton Down. It was from Pirbright that foot and mouth disease viruses “escaped”
twice in recent years, devastating the small farmers by killing all the cattle
and that resulted in UK farming suddenly being taken over by big agra.
This so-called institute has what
must surely be the worst record of safety, of ethics, and of story-telling
ability among the entire world’s Level 4 biolabs. For background, a Level 4 lab
is perhaps the most secure place on earth. No unauthorised person can even
approach, much less enter, and an exit requires, among other things, stripping
naked for decontamination. Nothing, no materials can be removed from the site,
for obvious reasons, without a police or military escort. However, when the
foot and mouth disease ravaged England and the source was definitively traced
to Pirbright, their response was that “animal activists” had entered the lab
and stolen some vials of pathogens and released them. The great majority of
English, unfamiliar with the technical features of biolabs, probably believed
the story which was pure fantasy.
A related issue is that Pirbright’s
presence at the simulation was no doubt due to the fact that they have created
and patented several (five, I believe) coronaviruses, one of which was used in
the simulation – US Patent # 10,130,701 issued November 20, 2018. It is curious
that Pirbright is partially funded by the Gates Foundation (a “primary
funder”), leading one to wonder why Bill Gates would be financing a UK
bioweapons lab. We are told the interest is in vaccines, but a biolab that
creates and patents lethal pathogens could avoid the cost of vaccine research
by not creating the pathogens in the first instance. Pirbright own the patents
for five different new kinds of corona viruses, but have also created and
patented a wide range of other pathogens, including (with funding from Gates)
“engineered Mosquito Genes” (weaponising insects, in fact), which some believe
was the original source of Oxytech’s mosquitoes that released the Zika virus.
(22) (23)
Some dismissed this as an elaborate
publicity stunt, but its contents are too detailed and too linked to China’s
coronavirus to be an accident. The series examines the worldwide healthcare
system, discussed possible sources of viruses that could cause a worldwide
pandemic, and examines humanity’s ability to cope. Given that the documentary
required some time for production, many worried citizens on the Internet are
asking if Netflix had prior knowledge. It is an alarmist documentary,
encouraging the public to be “most scared of influenza and respiratory (corona)
viruses, with phrases like “Pandemic Is Now”, “Seek Don’t Hide”, “Prayers Might
Work”. It too focuses on the ‘private sector’ as the world’s savior with
privately-produced (and for-profit) vaccines. (24) (25) (26)
In another disparaging article, CNN
claims, “historically a mass quarantine is an aggressive response that’s far
from perfect. In the past it has led to political, financial and social
consequences.”
Lawrence Gostin, a professor of
global health law at Georgetown University and director of the WHO’s Center on
Global Health Law, said the move was “unprecedented,” and, he thought, “very
unwise.” “Nothing on this scale has ever been tried,” he told CNN. “There’s
very little evidence of its effectiveness. And I think there’s good reason to
think that it could backfire, from a public health, social, human rights
perspective.”
CNN claims they can lead to
“logistical issues”, that merely the word “quarantine” will cause panic and
hysteria. Apparently there are also “human rights implications”, one US expert
stating, “I don’t think you can enforce a mass quarantine of 30 million people
without violating human rights.” The same expert claimed it could easily spur
public violence and a distrust of health authorities, and that there will be
broad “financial and social consequences” and will “hinder local economic activity”.
Gostin then claimed that “Getting the buy-in from the people you’re protecting
is essential,” he said, “and always better than ordering people to do stuff.”
It would seem that, for China, you
are damned if you do and damned if you don’t. (27)
Other media and internet posters
regularly insinuate or claim that the new coronavirus “leaked from the Wuhan
bio-weapons lab”, yet another example of writers making claims while lacking
any close personal acquaintance with the facts. The University of Wuhan contains
The Wuhan Institute of Virology, which is one of the country’s premier
biosafety laboratories which works with the WHO and other international groups
as part of a large network studying pathogens from all over the world, as do
all other such institutes. I have seen many insinuations or accusations of the
Institute being a bio-weapons lab, but those are claims made with no supporting
evidence. I am generally aware of the Institute, and it is purely a civilian
operation. It has never been associated with biological military or combat
research.
*
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Larry Romanoff is a retired
management consultant and businessman. He has held senior executive positions
in international consulting firms, and owned an international import-export
business. He has been a visiting professor at Shanghai’s Fudan University,
presenting case studies in international affairs to senior EMBA classes. Mr.
Romanoff lives in Shanghai and is currently writing a series of ten books
generally related to China and the West. He can be contacted at:
2186604556@qq.com. He is a frequent contributor to Global Research.
Notes
(1) https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/30/health/flu-deadly-virus-15-million-infected-trnd/index.html
(2)
https://apnews.com/0f0f07b30c8cdd2b0f30c6081acc7599?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=AP
(3)
https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/coronavirus-outbreak-china-evacuations-wuhan-death-toll-today-flights-us-cases-2020-01-31/
(4)
https://www.afp.com/en/news/15/thousands-held-liner-italy-over-virus-fears-china-couple-doc-1oj72z2
(5)
https://apnews.com/0f0f07b30c8cdd2b0f30c6081acc7599?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=AP
(6)
http://english.www.gov.cn/statecouncil/ministries/202001/30/content_WS5e327e60c6d019625c604324.html
(7)
https://www.chinadailyhk.com/article/119583
(8)
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3047230/wuhan-mayor-under-pressure-resign-over-response-coronavirus
(9)
en.people.cn/n3/2020/0125/c90000-9651777.html
(10)
https://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202001/25/WS5e2b76faa3101282172732ab.html
(11)
https://www.shine.cn/news/metro/2001300907
(12)
https://www.shine.cn/news/metro/2001290828
(13)
http://en.people.cn/90001/90778/7273792.html
(14) Shanghai Daily, Wednesday,
January 29, 2020; https://www.shine.cn/news/nation/2001290806/
(15) Medical Aspects of Biological
Warfare; https://repository.netecweb.org/items/show/325
(16)
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.26.919985v1
(17)
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.26.919985
(18)
https://www.rt.com/usa/397883-us-airforce-russian-rna-sample-tender/
(19)
http://english.sina.com/news/2019-10-16/detail-iicezzrr2367926.shtml
(20)
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019-10/15/c_138473332.htm
(21)
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/newsroom/center-news/2020-01-17-Event201-recommendations.html
(22)
https://patents.justia.com/patent/10130701
(23) https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/11/06/event-201-health-security/
(24)
https://nypost.com/2020/01/23/netflix-releases-pandemic-docuseries-as-coronavirus-spreads/
(25)
https://apnews.com/0f0f07b30c8cdd2b0f30c6081acc7599?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=AP
(26) https://thetab.com/uk/2020/01/24/pandemic-netflix-documentary-series-140265
(27)
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/26/health/quarantine-china-coronavirus/index.html